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That's my thought too. There are people out there who will lie on the stand very convincingly, in order to get revenge or score a paycheck. The jury needs to be VERY convinced that it really happened.I can't read their minds, but I suspect it is not that someone in the jury thinks drugging and raping women in OK. Rather they aren't entirely sure if this had happened at all. There's very little evidence right now other than the testimonies of the witnesses. Goes down into a "he said - they said" thing. The jurors voting "not guilty" probably think that it is a very real possibility that the Jane Does are lying and have conspired to shake down Danny for some cash.
Except that she did.It would have been different if a woman had gone immediately to the police with bruises, anal trauma, date-rape drug residue in her bloodstream, and his semen in her rectum. THEN there would have been physical evidence to back up the testimony. But here all we have is tearful testimony, and I think at least one of the accusers is a professional actress, or maybe all.
And Miscavige will hold it over Danny's head, and compel him to donate HEAVILY to IAS for all the trouble he's caused.Why? Because the evidence that is necessary to convince these jurors is in Danny's PC folder, it is in the OSA archives. Maybe even in some of the reports.
That's what I think. Davey keeping this as "hush-hush-super-secret-religious-priest-peninent" stuff saved Danny's bacon.
I think Danny's parents already did to some extent. Now Davey will choke them further, while holding this as an example to all celebrities. It is clear as day, the message is:And Miscavige will hold it over Danny's head, and compel him to donate HEAVILY to IAS for all the trouble he's caused.
Because if Danny is ever declared, then all that stuff will be splashed out in public.
“And his bank accounts are all being drained far faster than if he was handcuffed inside a cult sales office with a dozen hardcore, hard-sell registrars.”..
..
Yes, his reputation is now (and deservedly) complete dog poop.
And his bank accounts are all being drained far faster than if he was handcuffed inside a cult sales office with a dozen hardcore, hard-sell registrars.
And besides the public relations meltdown and lost of millions of dollars on legal bills and being an unemployable "celebrity", Danny has other even more stressful situations—such as whether he will still be allowed to use the Celebrity Centre's super secret actor entrance to the super VIP private actor course room.
That would be the ultimate indignity to suffer, wouldn't it? To wit, having to sit in a public course room and degrade himself by asking a non-celebrity for checkouts on his clay demos!
...


I predict no next trial. State will elect not to retry and case will be dropped.
Numbers were not even close. Waste of time at this point, IMO.
Count 1: 2 for guilty, 10 for not guiltyCount 2: 4 for guilty, 8 for not guiltyCount 3: 5 for guilty, 7 for not guilty
My previous prediction on Nov 8:
If the victims feel devastated by this, they surely need to know that they
were not let down by the wog justice system, as much as were screwed
by the COS justice system. That was "basic-basic" on this chain.
Let the civil trial go forward. Less of a burden of proof.
I said earlier that I thought the prosecution made a mistake by over-charging in a "he said/she said" case.
And I realize that the following may be controversial with some here.
If he faced at most a year in prison, I could see jurors decide "Yeah, he's a scumbag, put him away". For charges that were effectively a life sentence, jurors were going to need to be REALLY REALLY convinced that Danny was somebody so bad that he needed to be put away for life, to protect society.
That jury was not going to decide that prison space was better used for keeping Danny locked up, than for armed robbers, gang bangers, and killers.
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Well guys, it is a mistrial. They jury was not able to agree. This was my predition from October 28th:
Admittedly, I didn't expect that so many of the jurors would find him not guilty. I was expecting a mistrial because 1 or two jurors would hold out. Not half of them.
I can't read their minds, but I suspect it is not that someone in the jury thinks drugging and raping women in OK. Rather they aren't entirely sure if this had happened at all. There's very little evidence right now other than the testimonies of the witnesses. Goes down into a "he said - they said" thing. The jurors voting "not guilty" probably think that it is a very real possibility that the Jane Does are lying and have conspired to shake down Danny for some cash.
After cases like the fake rape conspiracy against Johnny Depp, the juries are gonna be more wary. That' s exactly why false rape charges are so pernicious and destructive - they make actual rape victims have a much harder time getting believed.
Rape cases are tough. Especially with little physical evidence, a long time before reporting etc.
The outcome of this trial surprises me a bit less than the Paul Haggis trial. In his case it was just one woman, the circumstances were far less suspicious, there was even less witness testimony or evidence.
It is surprising that Paul was found guilty, while Danny walked. Even though the weight of the evidence and testimony was much heavier against Danny than against Paul Haggis.
... all that I said above is the 'charitable' interpretation of what the Masterson jury did. What would be the uncharitable interpretation? This:
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I think the major problem was that the charges were for forcible rape. If it had been just rape I think they would have gotten convictions. But they couldn't just charge rape given the statutory limits.
Whatever happens with a retrial, Danny's life is pretty much ruined. Nobody is going to give him an acting job, not even the co$.
I think the civil trial depends largely on the criminal trial. If Danny is found guilty, the civil trial will be pretty much a "how much does he have t pay and how much scientology will get their ass kicked".I hope the civil trial continues and goes better, they can bring more Scientology into it, maybe we'll hear testimony from Lisa Marie Presley.
Who cares. He's not gonna do time and he's not gonna go around hungry. The only thing he will really lose is the ability to shake hands with other non-scn celebrities. If he is not sent to prison, it will only make him double-down on his scn background. Because the scn friends will not abandon him, while some others might.His career is still ruined, I think even with a not guilty he would've been ruined as an actor. He didn't even get a not guilty, just a mistrial.
I think the civil trial depends largely on the criminal trial. If Danny is found guilty, the civil trial will be pretty much a "how much does he have t pay and how much scientology will get their ass kicked".
But if Danny is not found guilty, then the civil trial is imho in peril of becoming a farce.
I think in theory it should not depend on it. But let's get real - it will.The civil trial that is already in progress didn't depend upon the outcome of the criminal trial because the civil trial isn't about the rapes, it is about the Fair Game campaign ran against the witnesses, which is why Scientology is involved in the civil trial.
I don't think his career is ruined - just on hold. His is producing Limbo BTW. While Matt Lauer is currently poison - Paul Rubens ( Pee Wee Herman )has left purgatory and is doing some gigs. And Alex Baldwin is steaming ahead on Rust. Paul Haggis is connected to Walker as a writer - it's a crap shoot.I agree, I think this was the most likely outcome and with the way the jurors were apparently leaning I don't see that there is anything to gain by doing it again. I don't think there will be another trial. At the end of the day there's no evidence and it's very hard not to have some doubt.
I hope the civil trial continues and goes better, they can bring more Scientology into it, maybe we'll hear testimony from Lisa Marie Presley.
The issue with what you're saying is they had to bring these charges or they run into statute of limitations problems. I don't think they had an option to bring/add lesser charges. With all the time that's passed they had to bring the charges they brought or there wouldn't be a trial at all. At least that was my understanding.
Yeah, I was expecting a much more even split from the beginning, I'm a bit shocked the first vote only had two voting guilty. I was expecting it more even and then there to be a few holdouts, but the majority was always voting not guilty, best they got was a 5/7 split.
Important to note that Paul's was not a criminal trial, it was civil where the burden of proof is much lower.
Yes, that was my understanding, they had to bring those charges or they run into statutory limits.
His career is still ruined, I think even with a not guilty he would've been ruined as an actor. He didn't even get a not guilty, just a mistrial.
The impact of tehse sort of charges seems to be "devaluating". Soon enough Hollywood will care about sexual assault charges as much as it does about marijuana possession and interracial relationships.I don't think his career is ruined - just on hold. His is producing Limbo BTW. While Matt Lauer is currently poison - Paul Rubens ( Pee Wee Herman )has left purgatory and is doing some gigs. And Alex Baldwin is steaming ahead on Rust. Paul Haggis is connected to Walker as a writer - it's a crap shoot.
Mimsey
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Paul Reubens | Actor, Writer, Director
Known for: Pee-wee's Playhouse, Pee-wee's Big Adventure, Big Top Pee-weewww.imdb.com
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Paul Haggis | Writer, Producer, Additional Crew
Known for: Crash, Due South, In the Valley of Elahwww.imdb.com
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Danny Masterson | Actor, Producer, Soundtrack
Known for: That '70s Show, Dracula 2000, Face/Offwww.imdb.com
I think the civil trial depends largely on the criminal trial. If Danny is found guilty, the civil trial will be pretty much a "how much does he have t pay and how much scientology will get their ass kicked".
But if Danny is not found guilty, then the civil trial is imho in peril of becoming a farce.
Who cares. He's not gonna do time and he's not gonna go around hungry. The only thing he will really lose is the ability to shake hands with other non-scn celebrities. If he is not sent to prison, it will only make him double-down on his scn background. Because the scn friends will not abandon him, while some others might.
I think in theory it should not depend on it. But let's get real - it will.
"Harassement by the convicted rapist and the church that he belongs to" will sound different to the jury than "harassment by that '70s show actor that nobody heard of".
You know who is the real winner in this trial? David Miscavige.
I mean it would be amazing if the civil trial goes full steam ahead and they get Davey deposed. But somehow I'm quite a bit less optimistic about seeing that happen once Danny walked.
I don't envy Bijou. Waiting for the axe to fall and the wait is just getting longer and longer.